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Friday, September 14, 2012

VIEW FROM 122...... BILLS VS CHIEFS

By FANTASYBOYZ Editor in Chief Corey Bugenhagen

Spiller was a Thriller in week 1
After last Sunday's debacle in Northern New Jersey Bills fans across the nation are having to be coaxed away from ledges and are jumping off bandwagons at an alarming rate.  The great news is with a new week it brings new hope that this season will not be yet another complete loss.  Many of the concerns from Sunday are valid however.  If the team does not rectify these issues we long suffering Bills fans are in line for yet another season devoid of the playoffs.  As an eternal optimist I still do have hope. Here are my keys to the game Sunday.

ON OFFENSE

When the Bills have the ball Sunday two key members of the team will be missing in David Nelson (out for year with ACL Tear) and Fred Jackson (LCL Sprain).  While losing Nelson stings he is replaceable.  Donald Jones is better suited for the slot in my opinion and it opens the door for TJ Graham to start on the outside.  Graham is a true burner who could actually open things up in the passing game.  Stepping in for F Jax is the heralded CJ Spiller, who went off against the Jets.  While losing Jackson is never a good thing Spiller is poised to completely break out in his third year in the league.  Spiller has the look of a running back who could break a long one on virtually every carry he gets.  The key to the Bills offensive success in my opinion is to work in Spiller early and often and don't be afraid to give himi 20+ carries.  The offense would also be best served to incorporate the short quick cutting passing game they exceled in early last season.  In doing this Fitzpatrick will have time to regain some confidence lost against the Jets.  If the Bills are to have any sustained success Fitz needs to be more of a game manager and not a gunslinger.  The offense is not highpowered enough to be forcing balls into tight spots.  Take what the defense gives you and focus on getting Spiller free.  Stevie Johnson needs to be targeting early as well.  It seems when Stevie is not involved early his focus lowers.

ON DEFENSE

To combat the Chief's run heavy attack the Bills need to rely on their much heralded front 4.  Then need to be strong at the point of attack and keep the linebackers free to roam.  Our hearts really go out to Marcel Dareus as he lost his brother in a tragic shooting this week.  It would not surprise us if he does play that his heart would not be in it.  The rest of the line needs to   The defensive coverage scheme most be overhauled completely.  The corners cannot be 10 yards off the line of scrimmage and expect to have success.  If they use that same scheme as against the Jets expect Matt Cassell to eat us up with 3 step drops and quick throws to Dwayne Bowe, Jon Baldwin and Steve Breaston.  Even more importantly is bottling up speedster Jamaal Charles and bruiser Peyton Hillis.  That is where the D line needs to shine.  Finally Mario Williams needs to come to play and I think he will.  He has to be fuming after getting lit up by the national media for being a non factor and complaining about the officials.  Expect a SUPER performance.

PREDICTION

While confidence in this team has already reached 1st overall pick status after last weeks drubbing by the Jets, our outlook for this game is a favorable one.  Don't forget the Chief's also were blown out on their home turf last week.  I think the Defense will come to play and the offense will lean on a run heavy attack to the tone of a Bills 21-10 Victory.

Wednesday, September 12, 2012

THURSDAY NIGHT RANKINGS....

By FANTASYBOYZ Editor in Chief Corey Bugenhagen

Who will win the battle of the gunslingers??
Thursday night Football brings yet another exciting matchup with the Chicago Bears visiting Lambeau field.  The matchup is chalk full of fantasy studs lead by everyone's #1 QB Aaron Rodgers.  While Greg Jennings is doubtful the Pack is stacked with guys that can step right in like Randell Cobb and James Jones.  On the other side of the Ball Jay Cutler to Branden Marshall tandem is no slouch.  Couple that with a strong running game lead by Matt Forte and Michael Bush.  Remember to get your lineups set tonight just to be safe.


Chicago Bears Rank                 FANTASYBOYZ TAKE
Jay Cutler QB1 Cutler looks rejuvinated back with Marshall
Matt Forte RB1 Forte will do his thing against the Pack
Michael Bush Flex Could be useful in TD leagues
Brandon Marshall WR1 Marshall is again a top 10 receiving option this week
Alshon Jeffrey WR3 Ok you waited a week.  Time to play him if you are weak at WR
Kellen Davis TE2 Not a worthy fantasy play
Robbie Gould K1 Gould could put points up this week
Bears Defense DST1 Too tough a matchup
VS

 Green Bay Packers Rank FANTASYBOYZ TAKE
Aaron Rodgers QB1 #1 QB1 play week in and week out
Cedric Benson RB2 Benson adds a new dimension to the attack.  Great RB2 start
Jordy Nelson WR1 Nelson will get even more looks if Jennings doesn't go
Greg Jennings WR1 Groin concerns have landed Jennings on the injury report
Randall Cobb WR3 Cobb will also benefit from Jennings possibly not suiting up
Jermichael Finley TE1 Finley looked good to go in week 1 
Mason Crosby K1 Crosby will get his points
Packers Defense DST1 Solid play in non yardage formats

Tuesday, September 11, 2012

WAIVER WIRED.....

By FANTASYBOYZ Editor in Chief Corey Bugenhagen

Get this guy while you can
Week 1 is in the books and now comes the time when you really make your money.  Sure your lineup is set with studs from your yearly draft or keepers but as we say there is always work to be done with your roster.  While your waiver wire probably is not overflowing with talent there are definitely some gems out there that can help strengthen your bench.   Below we advise who we think you should pick up.




QUARTERBACKS

Mark Sanchez - Owned in 12.3% of ESPN Leagues

While all the hype in NYC has been on what Prayer Tim Tebow read that day and if he does or does not shave his chest Sanchez did and said all the right things in the preseason.  He then proceeded to carve up a newly revamped Buffalo Bill's Defense.  While you probably don't want him as your starter he is a very solid QB2 at this point

Should be owned in all leagues


Russell Wilson - Owned in 24.3% of ESPN Leagues

Don't tell this guy he can't do something because you are only setting yourself up for failure.  Wilson won the Seahawk job out right and is another solid backup to add to your roster for insurance.  He didn't light things up Sunday but keep in mind that was only his first start in the league and will only get better

Should be owned in larger leagues

Matt Cassell - Owned in 31.2% of ESPN Leagues

Cassell is another guy that doesn't get any fantasy respect.  While he certainly is not an upper tier QB he is a Bye week gem when given the right matchup.

Should be owned in larger leagues

RUNNING BACKS

Alfred Morris - Owned in 18.2% of ESPN Leagues

In the ever complicated world of Mike Shannahan we saw not Roy Helu or Evan Royster get the Lion's share of carries Sunday but Alfred Morris.  In doing so Morris took the ball and produced big time.  Chances are you have room to add a guy that goes for 90 yards and 2 TDs on a consistent basis.

Should be owned in all leagues

Kendall Hunter - Owned in 8.1% of ESPN Leagues

While Hunter has only really been thought of as a possible cuff to Frank Gore he showed Sunday that he was much more than that.  Sure if you have Gore we think you should pick up Hunter right away but in deep leagues Hunter could be a nice Bye week Flex option

Should be owned in larger leagues

Dexter McCluster - Owned in 3.9% of EPSN Leagues

McCluster has pretty much moved to receiver full time this season but is intriguing since he still has RB eligibility in many leagues.  With that being said he could be a great flex play in PPR leagues.

Should be owned in larger PPR leagues

WIDE RECEIVER


Kevin Ogletree - Owned in 49.8% of ESPN Leagues


Ogletree is probably the #1 waiver pick in almost every league nation wide.  He showed that he was up to the task in stepping up into the role held by Laurent Robinson last season.  He will continue to see single coverage game in and game out.  Don't expect 100 yards and a TD every week but Ogletree should produce some decent numbers.


Should be owned in all leagues

Brandon LaFell - Owned in 19.2% of ESPN Leagues

When doing this write up we were very surprised to see that LaFell wasn't owned in majority of leagues especially since he was named starter in Carolina.  He showed Sunday with 65 yards and a TD that that Owned percentage should be trending upward

Should be owned in larger leagues


Alshon Jeffery - Owned in 11.5 of ESPN Leagues

Wide Receiver is certainly the deepest position on this weeks wire report.  Alshon Jeffery is case and point.  He is a guy starting for the Bears potent offense and has rapport with Jay Cutler.  We envision stat lines like his 80 yard 1 TD performance quite often this season.

Should be owned in larger leagues

Stephen Hill - Owned in 7.4 of ESPN Leagues

Hill had a huge first game of his young career Sunday.  He had 89 yards and 2 big TDs.  Another young guy that seems to be a favorite target of his QB.  Hill will have ups and downs but he will get better as the season goes on.

Should be owned in larger leagues

TIGHT ENDS

Kyle Rudolph  - Owned in 9.9% of ESPN Leagues

Rudolph has a ton of talent and we think that by the end of the season he will be in the top 10 of Fantasy Tight Ends in most scoring formats

Should be owned in larger leagues

Mercedes Lewis - Owned in 4.4% of ESPN Leagues

Lewis had a down year in 2011 as Gabbert really struggled in the starting role.  With Gabbert really looking like a completely different QB Lewis could trend more towards the Lewis of 2010

Should be owned in larger leagues

Sunday, September 9, 2012

VIEW FROM 122...... BILLS VS JETS POSTGAME

By FANTASYBOYZ Editor in Chief Corey Bugenhagen

Week 1 of the Buffalo Bills season is in the books and wasn't it something all of us Bills fans would love to forget.  Sure we thought that an opener on the road against the Jets was a very tough match-up.  Many of us even pegged the Jets as the winners, but never in our wildest dreams did we think the Bills would be absolutely blown out in such an embarrassing fashion.  Then to add insult to injury our best offensive player would go down with what could possibly be a season ending knee injury.  Well that is exactly what happened on Sunday in Northern New Jersey to all of our shock and dismay.
Fitzpatrick had a day to forget Sunday

In this new age of digital everything you can get an even better idea of the fans thoughts and opinions of the this mess than you did even 5 years ago.  The #BillsMafia on Twitter was a buzz with countless angry rants and explosions.  There were even some cowards Tweeting very nasty messages directly to the players accounts.  While I by no means think people shouldn't have the right to express their feelings on the game that we all spend our hard earned money and time on, I just think it is very lame to talk directly to the players as I know they wouldn't say these things right to their faces.  Either way I can say with complete certainty the fans are extremely unhappy with almost every aspect of the teams effort today.

Now to my thoughts on the game itself.  There was almost nothing about the game, outside of CJ Spiller, that I saw as a positive.  The Defense let wide open receives run free through the secondary.  The heralded Dline put almost no pressure whatsover on the Jet's QBs.  The worst thing about game of course was the play of Ryan Fitzpatrick.  His first half was one of the worst in recent memory.  It brought me flashbacks of Billy Jo Hobert and JP Losman.  He looked lost, and inaccurate.  I have been a Fitz supporter for years now but today was a real eye opener.  When other teams like Indy and the Skins rolled out their shiny new franchise QBs Bills fans are resigned to the fact that we are still so far away from that day.

I am not saying these things can't be rectified, starting this week in the home opener.  The team has two winnable games in a row.  There is also hope that Freddy J's knee isn't torn.  The young corners have a lot of talent and are bound to turn it around sooner than later.  Mario Williams and company will generate a pass rush.  Last but not least CJ Spiller looked like a super star out there today.  You felt that he might take it to the house on every carry.  Lets hope he builds off that effort.  However the reality of the matter is that if Fitz doesn't get his act together and IMMEDIATELY the Bills are in MAJOR trouble.....

Last Second Injuries

By FANTASYBOYZ Editor in Chief Corey Bugenhagen

Game time is less than 3 hours away but your lineup is still up in the air?  Welcome to the club.  Below is the latest up to date injury report.  Tons of injuries so early, especially at Running Back.  Hopefully this will make your decisions easier.
AP HOW MANY CARRIES WILL YOU GET?

RUNNING BACK:
Adrian Peterson: Questionable/Game time decison
Arian Foster: Questionable but likely to start
Trent Richardson: Questionable but starting per Brown's sources
Ryan Mathews:  OUT
Marshawn Lynch: Questionable but likely to start
Jonathan Stewart:  Questionable Likely OUT
Beanie Wells: Questionable but likely will play limited role

WIDE RECEIVER:
Stevie Johnson:  Questionable but expects to play
Marques Colston: Questionable but expects to play
Justin Blackmon: Probable, will play
Steve Smith: Probable, will play